Rural Industries
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RIRDC Completed Projects in 2001-2002 & Research in Progress as at June 2002
This project was supported
by the Natural Heritage Trust
This project was supported
by the Natural Heritage Trust
| Outcomes | Integrated
Spatial Modelling Framework
The project succeeded in establishing the integrated spatial modelling framework needed to routinely produce reliable estimates of forest productivity for Southeast Queensland. A series of workshops, planning meetings and informal and formal training sessions ensured staff were skilled in the application of key components of the spatial modelling platform or were supported through professional networks. Model Parameterisation Forest growth information was utilised for Eucalyptus grandis, which has been well described from the Shell plantation trials near Gympie. 3-PG parameters were developed using available stem diameter increment data for four plots in Experiment HWD110, from Woondum State Forest. These plots were unique in the duration of the measurement period (approximately 60 years), compared with most other plantation trials in the region (<10 years old). Non-linear parameter estimation software, PEST, was used with 3-PG to establish values for 5 parameters. Other parameters were fixed according to experimental results or expert opinion. Model simulations with the parameter values accurately predicted growth of the four plots at Woondum. These were then synthesised and used for the entire Southeast Queensland region. Forest Plantation Land Suitability in Southeast Queensland The 3-PG parameters developed for Eucalyptus grandis were used to estimate forest productivity in Southeast Queensland with long-term climate and generalised substrate conditions. A second series of output generated for eight sets of constant soil water and fertility conditions demonstrated the increased importance of site selection in inland areas where rainfall is limiting. Productivity estimates were generally lower and more variable (uncertain) as mean annual rainfall declined away from the coast. It appears possible to achieve high levels of productivity in marginal rainfall areas where the soils are characterised by exceptionally high water holding capacity and fertility. Agroforestry options and catchment water balance: A pilot study Transpiration outputs from the forest model 3-PG, a crop model and a pasture model were used to investigate the impacts of various agroforestry options on local catchment water balance and salinity over four decades of climatic variation (1937-1975) at Kingaroy in Southeast Queensland. The hydrology submodel, PHROG, coupled with the other models was sensitive to terrain shape and position, responded to real rainfall variation and reflected the influence of agricultural and agroforestry land uses on water movement and accumulation. With a relatively simple parameter set, this approach has realised a flexible and sophisticated model of the landscape, which can be used to inform the land management choices within the catchment and in the many similar catchments nearby. The linking of land use via transpiration and historical climate data into catchment hydrology is an effective step in characterising these systems and assists in developing remedies to the serious salinisation problems that occur in the region. Application of remote sensing imagery to 3-PG model Within the Biggenden region of Southeast Queensland, the 3-PG model was used to predict the spatial patterns of environmental growth modifiers. In June, July and August, the model predicted significant restrictions to forest growth due to lack of soil water concurrent with slight temperature constraints due to the lower winter temperatures. In the earlier part of the year the restrictions to growth due to water and vapour pressure deficit were significantly less making summer the optimal time for forest growth. The 3-PG model predicted an annual accumulated net primary productivity from 2.7 – 11.0 tons of dry matter per hectare per year in the Biggenden region. Analysis of high spatial resolution soil data: A demonstration Within the Brisbane Valley area, the high spatial resolution soil attribute information (~1:50 000) had a significant effect on the prediction of spatial variation in forest productivity estimates for average stem diameter and leaf area index. The use of a high spatial resolution soil water holding capacity layer appears to simulate the distribution of soil water within the catchment more accurately than when derived from broad scale estimates of soil type (>1:500 000). As a result, the 3-PG growth predictions appear more consistent than the predictions made with constant or broad scale estimates of soil type. Sensitivity of native forest types to climate change Over the entire Southeast Queensland region, the growth of a range of native forest types was simulated under both current climatic conditions and a future climate scenario (percentage change from current: +8 summer rainfall, -4 winter rainfall, -20 frost, +2 temperature), including a scenario of 20% increased quantum canopy efficiency. Results indicate that using the climate change scenario only, growth in the region will be reduced almost universally by around 5%. This is principally due to the predicted reduction in winter rainfall, when current growth is already highly restricted by lack of water. The effect of increased summer rainfall is much less as the forest is currently not usually water-limited in summer. The future climate change scenario that included an increase in the quantum canopy efficiency, which may reflect elevated CO2 concentrations, indicates forest growth increasing in the region by between 12 and 18%. |
| Implications | Capacity
of State agencies to establish and utilise 3-PG
The capacity to develop complex spatial modelling platforms is highly dependent on computer hardware and software and trained staff in disciplines such as meteorology, soil geomorphology, terrain analysis, geographic information systems, spatial data management, remote sensing, and computer programming. Forestry applications require additional skills in environmental modelling and forest inventory. Collaborative linkages with pre-eminent researchers in the developing field of ecosystem modelling, predictive uncertainty analysis and forest ecophysiology are crucial. Reliable estimates of forest productivity 3-PG can accurately predict forest growth provided suitable site based information and ecophysiology data are available for parameter estimation. Key areas for data collection including canopy leaf-area index and biomass partitioning with stand age. Non-linear parameter estimation techniques are valuable tools in helping determine the role and sensitivity of important parameters in semi-empirical process models such as 3-PG. Software tools, such as PEST, have a critical role to play in future applications of this type. The required scale and accuracy of soil attribute mapping must be addressed before spatially accurate predictions of forest growth can be made over whole landscapes. If this cannot be done then the spatial uncertainty in productivity estimates due to limitations in the resolution of soil information should be assessed and presented along with the productivity estimates. Simple models of soil water balance are unlikely to produce accurate estimates of forest growth. While these effects may be masked at regional scales by the variability in climate, they need to be addressed at local scales. The hydrology submodel PHROG was originally developed to improve the accuracy of water balance in 3-PG. Remote sensing has a valuable role to play in modelling current forest growth as it allows the actual forest canopy condition to be incorporated into growth predictions. Limiting environmental conditions, such as soil water holding capacity, soil fertility, vapour pressure deficit and temperature, can be spatially identified. Remote sensing data, calibrated with field estimates of leaf area index and integrated into a predictive modelling framework, is an essential component of contemporary forest inventory and monitoring programs. These field estimates are rarely available for calibration. Climate change scenarios imply that overall growth in forest vegetation will be reduced by almost 5% in Southeast Queensland, principally due to a reduction in winter rainfall. If an increase in foliage quantum canopy efficiency occurs, due to increases in CO2 concentration, then it is possible that growth in the region will increase rather than decrease. |
| Research | To test the findings of the previous study, this project conducted a case study for the manufacture and testing of laminated three-ply flooring from Southern blue gum (E.globulus). In order to apply the results to other species and growth situations it also developed a computer model, VALUFLORã , to model all the commercial cost parameters from establishing plantations through log processing and manufacturing to the laying of floors. |
| Outcomes | The
flooring produced has a unique walnut colour attractive to some niche markets.
Although Southern blue gum is not considered a high grade sawlog species; the techniques applied by the project team resulted in a laminated flooring product suited to domestic floor applications. Artificial hardening treatments are available and would need to be applied if the flooring is to be used for heavy industrial purposes. The VALUFLORã model predicts that the costs associated with processing wood from short rotation plantations can be as low as 19% of the cost of a laid floor in Australia. Without the application of state-of-the-art manufacturing technology, however, lamination and polishing is unlikely to be competitive within Australia. The techniques applied in conversion of very young Southern blue gum show considerable promise for applying to other plantation grown juvenile eucalypt species. |
| Implications | The results fall short of demonstrating commercial acceptance at this stage but sufficient technical and market opportunities are presented to justify a detailed feasibility study for a commercial flooring plant and for industry to adopt some of the technical developments for successfully processing juvenile eucalypts. |
| Publications | Shedley, P. Cost benefits of small log processing (laminated three- ply flooring) RIRDC In press |
Cost Effective multi-purpose
systems for commercial and environmental purposes
| Implications | The
following changes are required in the National Action Plan:
· catchment plans should be more transparent about the relative priority placed on salt, water, biodiversity and other outcomes and the public good aspect of these outcomes · the magnitude of the public benefit needs to be estimated so as to allow priorities to be assigned within and between regions · some NAP funding should be held centrally so that national initiatives can be applied across catchments · put more focus on leveraging private sector investment rather than concentrating on government money, community activity and altruistic behaviour · implement in some key catchments, a pilot program which leverages private sector investment by paying them for some of the public benefits they are contributing towards |
| Publications | Buffier,
B & the Allen Consulting Group 2002, Environmental and commercial outcomes
through agroforestry- Policy and investment options, Publication no. 02/057,
RIRDC, Canberra.
Buffier, B & the Allen Consulting Group 2002, Environmental and commercial outcomes through agroforestry- Policy and investment options, The Short Report no 113, RIRDC, Canberra. |
| Publications | Norman,
P., Cockfield, G., Harrison, S., Herbohn, J. Lawrence, P., Thompson, D.,
and Williams, K. 2002. A whole-farm and regional agroforestry decision
making system. Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Multiple
Objective Decision Support Systems for Land, Water and Environmental Management
(MODSS’99), 1-6 August, 1999, Brisbane, Australia, P.A.
Lawrence and J. Robinson (eds.) Queensland Department of Natural Resources and Mines, Australia 2002, Report QNRM02143, ISBN 0 7345 2668 7. Lawence, Norman. A Whole- farm and regional agroforestry decision making system. In review. |
This project was supported by the Natural Heritage Trust
This project was also
supported by the Land & Water Australia Riparian and Native Vegetation
Programs and the Murray Darling Basin Commission