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Summary of full report
Realising the revenue potential of environmental plantings under the New South Wales carbon market
A report for the RIRDC/LWA/FWPRDC Joint Venture Agroforestry Program
by Alastair Grieve, Sam Wood, Annette Cowie August 2008
RIRDC Publication No 08/136 RIRDC Project No CGA-2A
Who is the report targeted
at?
The report is intended for
use by CMAs, relevant government policy-makers and regulators, as well
as by other institutions that may be considering accreditation under GGAS
or the like.
Background
Natural resource management
(NRM) activities carried out by landholders and catchment managers across
Australia, especially for land repair purposes, place considerable emphasis
on revegetation as a means of addressing a range of issues, including salinity
mitigation, erosion control, water quality and biodiversity. Through working
closely with CMAs and landholders, the project proponents identified an
opportunity to utilise the carbon sinks created by tree plantings on farms
as an additional source of revenue to support further targeted revegetation
in catchments, through their accreditation under the GGAS. GGAS imposes
mandatory greenhouse gas benchmarks on all NSW electricity retailers. Benchmark
participants are required to reduce their emission of greenhouse gases
to the level of their greenhouse gas benchmark by off-setting their excess
emissions through the surrender of abatement certificates. These certificates
are created by accredited abatement certificate providers and can be traded
to benchmark participants. For landholders to participate in GGAS,
appropriate accounting, risk management and other accreditation requirements
must be met by a prospective provider. The project assessed the prospects
and challenges for a CMA or similar pool manager in meeting these requirements.
The scale of benefit has been estimated at up to $12m per annum for NSW
alone. Depending on the cost incurred in pool management, and the agreed
shares of net income between landholders and CMAs, this represents a considerable
additional area of land that could be revegetated.
Aims/Objectives
The primary objectives of
the project are:
Methods used
The approach followed was
to identify specific issues associated with inclusion of these plantings
within the GGAS carbon market that could present significant difficulties
for successful accreditation. The principal issues assessed were
as follows:
Subject to these issues
being positively resolved, the study would provide the basis for a future
pilot project involving one or more CMAs preparing to apply for accreditation
as a carbon pool manager under the GGAS. The study investigated the
capacity of a CMA to meet the specific requirements listed in the Application
for Accreditation as an Abatement Certificate Provider under the Carbon
Sequestration Rule:
The first eight of these
questions were assessed through detailed discussions and assessments of
existing business processes in use by the Murrumbidgee CMA (MCMA), in consultation
with the Department of Lands, and after thorough familiarisation with the
GGAS requirements. In addition, a steering committee was established for
the project that comprised representatives of the MCMA, the Department
of Natural Resources, the NSW Greenhouse Office and IPART (the GGAS regulator)
as an observer. The last question (Point 9) was evaluated through
a two-stage process of firstly identifying potentially suitable carbon
accounting methods and assessing these against defined criteria to select
the most appropriate methods. The second stage compared the predictions
of carbon stocks made using the two selected methods for a range of sites
typical of locations in western NSW, with estimated stocks based on actual
measurements of biomass taken at these sites. These results were then analysed
to assess how accurately the two selected methods predicted carbon stocks
at these locations. Another issue that may constrain the viability
of a CMA-managed pool is the question of the legal status of CMAs as pool
managers, and the risks to their core business activities that pool management
may present. This aspect requires further assessment. The key criteria
used in selecting suitable carbon accounting methods were as follows:
On this basis two methods
were selected and evaluated – the Carbon Sequestration Predictor (CSP)
and the National Carbon Accounting Toolbox (NCAT).
Results/Key findings
This evaluation indicated
that, with only minor changes, CMA business systems could be adapted to
satisfy the GGAS requirements for developing contracts, registering carbon
rights and restrictions on use, developing risk management procedures,
and monitoring and reporting compliance. Specific issues that may present
difficulty are the disincentive to landholders that the 100–year rule represents,
and the capacity of the CMA as pool manager to plan for this requirement.
A business case was developed by MCMA (the full report is commercial-in-confidence,
but key sections are reported here) to assess the attractiveness of establishing
a carbon pool in the Murrumbidgee Catchment. This showed that the returns
could justify such a venture, but were dependent on the level of interest
and uptake demonstrated by landholders, as well as the income sharing agreed
between landholders and CMAs. Attracting existing eligible plantings into
the pool would be important to provide an immediate source of revenue.
A draft revegetation strategy was developed that could create a pool of
over 5,000 ha of eligible plantings over ten years. Depending on overhead
costs, it may be more attractive to develop a larger pool based on several
CMA areas. For the small data set available, both carbon accounting
methods evaluated were found to provide generally unbiased estimates for
plantings of typical dryland eucalypt species over 5 years of age, however,
for younger plantings the estimates were inaccurate. Neither model provided
a precise measure, and the level of uncertainty associated with these methods
would result in very conservative estimates of the quantum of carbon sequestration
for which for abatement certificates can be created. Nevertheless either
model may be suitable for use by CMAs, subject to calibration for a wider
range of species and planting types, and additional assessment of uncertainty.
It was concluded that it is feasible for one or more CMAs to seek accreditation
as a GGAS carbon pool manager, based on environmental plantings, either
new or existing, on private land.
Implications for relevant
stakeholders
The findings of this project
suggest that it is feasible for one or more CMAs or other similar bodies
to seek accreditation as a pool manager under GGAS. If this opportunity
can be successfully realised, it will provide an alternative source of
income to supplement the current public funding available. Although the
amounts are modest in relation to the total current budgets of CMAs, increases
in the price of carbon would increase the income from this environmental
service. With greater experience in the operation of a pool, further economies
may be realised (eg through increased scale), leading to greater net returns.
Another outcome from the successful adoption of this area of business may
be the development of other environmental markets (eg for salinity benefits,
biodiversity services). This would be an important change in the way in
which currently unrecognised contributions by landholders to maintenance
of a healthy, productive environment could be identified and rewarded appropriately.
The effects of this change on NRM strategies and standards are likely to
be significant.
Recommendations
Based on the positive findings
reported here, a pilot project should now be undertaken to develop the
documentation required for accreditation of a CMA as a pool manager under
GGAS. The pilot could involve either one or preferably several CMAs. It
should also address the unresolved issues identified through this study.
An important focus for the pilot project should be to acquire additional
growth data for representative types of plantings to be included in the
pool to allow improved accuracy and precision of carbon stock estimation.
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